Impact of US trade tariffs

The announcement of the US’s incoming trade tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods, coupled with Trump’s ongoing rhetoric around trading with the EU, is bold.

Waging a trade war with four of its biggest trading partners could have negative ramifications for the US. Nearshoring manufacturing to the US will be hard to justify for some companies, given the higher cost base and the expertise and sheer scale of operations that overseas manufacturing has previously provided. And with business challenges come consumer impacts. Rising costs would likely lead to cost-push inflation – meaning the consumer pays more for the goods and services they seek – and dampened purchasing power.

For the rest of the world, however, we could see the likes of China, the EU, Canada, and Mexico form a trade alliance. We could also see potential trading opportunities for places like the UK open as countries look for new places to import.